Tuesday, November 14, 2006





Let's face it: If you write about lofty, exciting (but dauntingly strange) ideas, you're going to need straw men. Why? To keep your readers alert to the fact that you know of what you speak, obviously. But more importantly, to keep your own ego afloat. It's a weird universe out there; even on the best of days, answers are elusive. Unless you dose yourself with the illusion of intellectual omnipotence, things get out of hand . . . but of course you know this already.

Which is why I come to you with a offer you can't refuse. Make no mistake: You're going to need it. Because when you write about seemingly remote and inaccessible subjects, there are always a few readers who don't buy it. And they take out their consternation by insinuating that your grip on reality has in some way slackened (when you know perfectly well that it hasn't).

Naturally, you can only take so much of this. After all, you know you're right. You know your paradigm will prevail. You need to strike back, let off some steam, give yourself a much-needed -- if utterly undeserved -- chance to indulge in some therapeutic gloating and smug laughter. Yes, it's short-lived and never really amounts to anything -- but if it wins you some brittle camaraderie it's more than served its designated purpose.

Anyway, I sense your impatience. You want the goods, and I'm happy to assist. Here's what you're after: UFOs.

You're probably wondering what UFOs have to do with anything. How can they can help you in your quest to seem all-knowing and ever-prescient?

Here's how it works: Most people don't know a damned thing about UFOs. They've never heard of the Condon Report, let alone taken the time to familiarize themselves with the likes of Jacques Vallee and J. Allen Hynek. Their awareness of the UFO phenomenon is limited to pop culture.

For example, they've likely seen "The X-Files." They may even qualify as "enthusiasts," having read a few sensational titles about altruistic visitors from the Pleiades or the diabolical threat posed by the "Grays," who hail from a dying world and need our DNA to survive. And no doubt they've thrilled to one or two Hollywood treatments of the UFO theme, cementing their illusory sense of expertise. Broadly speaking, it's fair to say that their comprehension of the subject is limited to knee-jerk references to government cover-ups, crashed saucers and human-ET treaties deep below the unassuming surface of Area 51.

If this sounds rather pathetic, don't let it get you down -- because you need these people.

Of course, that's not to infer that everyone's knowledge of the subject is confined to the fringe. Many scientists, including NASA's Paul Hill and esteemed theoretical physicist Bernard Haisch, have expressed a keen interest in the phenomenon, availed themselves of the data compiled by trained observers, and arrived at provocative conclusions.

Granted, you don't care what scientists and researchers have to say. That's fine. Because, for the most part, neither does anyone else. Your job isn't to relate factual information or even to concede that there's a mystery. Quite the opposite: For you, UFOs are something to be laughed at -- not because the core phenomenon is in any way laughable, but because attempting to grasp the subject's complexity is so daunting and unfashionable that the notion of taking any of it seriously -- even as a mental exercise -- virtually guarantees that you can rely on others' ignorance.

The fragile associations that accompany the very mention of unidentified flying objects ensure an easy idealogical victory at little or no personal expense. All it takes is the willingness to condescend. And, just maybe, a small piece of your self-respect -- but certainly that's a small price to pay when there are arguments to be won.

6 comments:

Paul Kimball said...

W.M.:

The McMinnville photos are a classic case (one might even call them some of the "best evidence") - they are either a structured craft, or an object suspended from the wires. See the Colorado Project analysis at:

http://www.ncas.org/condon/text/case46.htm

In particular, this passage, near the end:

"To the extent that the photometric analysis is reliable, (and the measurements appear to be consistent), the photographs indicate an object with a bright shiny surface at considerable distance and on the order of tens of meters in diameter. While it would be exaggerating to say that we have positively ruled out a fabrication, it appears significant that the simplest, most direct interpretation of the photographs confirms precisely what the witnesses said they saw. Yet, the fact that the object appears beneath the same part of the overhead wire in both photos can be used as an argument favoring a suspended model"

At this point, where the interpretation seems to lean towards a structured craft (while not ruling out the hoax possibility), it's important to look at the people involved. The Trents, by all accounts, were relatively unsophisticated farmers, well-respect within their community, who never profited to any real degree from the photos, and who maintained to their dying days that they were real.

At the least, the case is inconclusive. At best, it provides strong evidence of "something" up there, back in 1950.

Best regards,

Paul Kimball

Paul Kimball said...

W.M. Bear:

I agree that, taken alone, the fact that people are "simple country folk" is certainly not enough to prove that they couldn't have hoaxed something (Billy Meier, although not quite as simple as his acolytes make out, is a good example of a "simple country type" who did hoax photos - lots of them). However, as with all factors (including credibility), it is a piece of the puzzle - particularly when photographic analysis tells us that if it was a hoax, it's a damn good one, done by people who thought it out well enough to leave reaonable doubt (at least) in the minds of the best analysts science could find years later.

The interesting thing to me about the Colorado Project conclusion is the principle of Occam's Razor, which fundamentalist skeptics are always trotting out (to be fair, OR is a perfectly valid way of looking at things, so long as you're objective about it). Here, however, Occam's Razor seems to favour the non-terrestrial explanation, at least in the final report!

While it would be exaggerating to say that we have positively ruled out a fabrication, it appears significant that the simplest, most direct interpretation of the photographs confirms precisely what the witnesses said they saw.

You don't hear that quoted very often by the fundie skeptics! :-)

Paul

Paul Kimball said...

W.M.:

One other quick point - it's important to note that the case occurred in 1950. We have to be careful not to project our own technological prowess onto a prior era. Today almost anyone with proper imaging tools could create those photos - back then, different story. I'm not saying it would have been impossible, just much less probable.

Paul

Mac said...

Lesley,

LOL!

Well, I'm glad somebody liked it...

John Sawyer said...

I can't figure out whether Mac's trying to be sarcastic or not, or both.

Mac said...

John--

It's sarcastic, but written in such a manner that it might actually be helpful to those who need it.