It is remarkable to find officials at this level of the U.S. government, or any large government, openly discussing dramatic possibilities that most often are dismissed as science fiction.
(Via KurzweilAI.net.)
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3 comments:
well its a good blog
Verily, a concrescence looms... not a good thing, not a bad thing.
..._A_ thing.
Friedman's something we couldn't foresee born of doing new things in unpredictable ways?
Each position in time regarding the other with horror and loathing I suspect... One would wonder how we could come "to" *that*... ...while the other would wonder how we could come "from" *that*.
That said the future is no less inexorable.
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All I can say is that Ray Kurzweil's concepts and ideas about a techno singularity bear objective analysis, as they are largely based on a biased variety of overly optimistic presumptions.
Read Kevin Kelly's article about same (and Kurzweil's response on his Kurzweil AI website, in turn) at:
www.kk.org/thetechnium/archives/2006/02/the_singularity.php(The Singularity Is Always Near) just for one contra commentary.
Singularity, schmingularity! ;^}
The liklihood is that any such "event(s)" is bound to bad, as the human ability to manage intelligently exponential rates of change properly (with coherence, instead of chaos) is not very good.
Kurzweil is whistling through the graveyard of the future, IMHO.
A "singularity" or series of similar "advances" may occur, but I don't think they will lead to breakthroughs in human development or transcendence. The more probable scenario involves full-scale nuclear war, among other horrors.
Just one droid's opinion.
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