Thursday, June 02, 2005

Comet put on list of potential Earth impactors

"The listing of Comet Catalina underscores the uncertainty in the knowledge of whether comets or asteroids pose a greater threat to Earth. Previous estimates of the proportion of the impact risk posed by comets have varied widely, from 1% to 50%, with most recent estimates at the lower end.

"But comets are larger and faster-moving, on average, so their impacts could be a significant part of the overall risk to human life. And, unlike asteroids, they lie on randomly-oriented and usually highly elongated orbits. This makes them much more likely to remain undiscovered until they are very close to Earth."

2 comments:

Mac said...

Another reason to get our act together and migrate into space in the next 1000 years....

Brian Dunbar said...

Bear, you're being pessimistic. I'd give good odds that before the next two hundred years are out there will be more biomass OFF Earth than on.

Okay, yes that sounds wildly optimistic even to me. But I remember that the learned folks in the 1780s were guessing it would take a thousand years to fill up the American continent. And this after Boone blazed his way into Kentucky.

Somewhere someone has started to blaze the trail into the high frontier - and we'll recognize it only after the fact and oh how inevitable it will all seem.